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00:01 | I'll try to get the recordings loaded this week too. Nobody's asked for |
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00:05 | . Um, when I teach professional , if I don't get that recording |
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00:10 | quick, everybody's like, wow, the recording? And, and we |
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00:14 | , in those classes, we move . So it's, it's more of |
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00:17 | push. Yeah. Hey, we're lecture 17 being recorded. And uh |
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00:39 | is appraisal methods. Three. you might have noticed there are a |
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00:43 | of tools, tool lectures and there's lot of appraisal le le uh lessons |
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00:49 | I think those are really critical things uh in working with the value |
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00:55 | Gotta have those tools. And here's a, uh, a list of |
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01:00 | um, that become very uh important the appraisal step. And uh the |
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01:11 | envelope of course is uh pretty important we've looked at all these different |
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01:17 | Uh, petroleum in, in uh place, in reserves. Uh These |
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01:21 | a lot of the things, you , uh total oil and oil or |
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01:28 | in place is one thing. But much can we get out of it |
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01:32 | important. So this recovery factor is important. Um I almost never had |
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01:37 | worry about this. But if you're about, you know, how much |
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01:40 | gonna be shipping out next week based your production, you might want to |
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01:43 | worried about that. But uh and , and then when you pull gas |
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01:47 | , um it has a lot to , you know, gas is quite |
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01:51 | . So uh that becomes more important you have uh a high G O |
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01:56 | gas oil ratio uh and that kind thing, uh the distribution of all |
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02:01 | uh different fluids, the compartmentalization, reservoir quality and property distributions. In |
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02:08 | words, you can have something that's pretty good quality or a pretty |
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02:11 | but the distribution of those, of different things can be very different. |
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02:17 | Something that's uh uh sort of uh graded beds versus uh uh retrograding beds |
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02:28 | transgressive beds are gonna have or excuse , uh pro grading beds are gonna |
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02:33 | different types of baffles and barriers in directions. So the dimensions and the |
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02:38 | changed dramatically. OK. Um I this was something uh interesting in Shepherd's |
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02:48 | . Um Our actual measurement of reservoir is about one in three million. |
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02:57 | And uh so, you know, drill a well and you don't know |
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03:01 | about it and you have to make lot of decisions on it, but |
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03:04 | do have data and uh and I think that's really a critical thing |
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03:09 | know. Uh I think reservoir characterization getting better. I've kind of drifted |
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03:15 | from it. I haven't co taught in a few years now. |
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03:18 | uh you know, it was uh it's, it's difficult to uh show |
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03:23 | lot of the stuff that's done because done in little compartments or cells they |
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03:28 | them. And uh and, and the cell you have these averages. |
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03:32 | of course, uh the worst thing can do almost with any kind of |
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03:39 | uh characterization or static model is to is to, is to over average |
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03:48 | uh when you're trying to get to , the root of the problem. |
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03:51 | , if you have a reservoir that's very good porosity, very good permeability |
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03:55 | internally, it's very homogeneous reservoir characterization something you don't need to worry |
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04:01 | But uh in many of the reservoirs we produce today, the, the |
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04:07 | poor framework which includes the pores and poor throats can be very complex and |
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04:12 | different types of barriers and baffles can uh many and varied because anyway, |
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04:18 | a lot of different things we do statistics uh in this, in these |
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04:23 | . And, and uh uh sometimes try to use deterministic methods where we |
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04:29 | try to figure out uh what it be. Other times we'll, we'll |
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04:33 | things like Monte Carlo and, and is, you know, we're kind |
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04:39 | looking at the range of probabilities. then another way to do it is |
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04:43 | look at and uh um different scenarios , in such a way that um |
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04:52 | know, is it a barrier on is it a barrier on different |
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04:58 | different types of things? So there's a lot of different uh this |
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05:02 | affect, of course, uh the of the properties. And then that's |
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05:06 | I try to throw in there at a little bit about depositional systems and |
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05:11 | environments and essential faces because that the between the force uh bases and the |
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05:19 | force base is different each one of settings. Uh And I better not |
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05:26 | walking around the room too much. , and uh this is sort of |
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05:32 | projected uh and expected volumes. Uh uh you know, you, you |
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05:40 | that when you have um values down would be volumes and end up here |
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05:45 | would be the probability of it And uh and, and of |
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05:51 | um these two things, the low and the high end are on two |
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05:59 | , the low end, uh you , in, in statistics, a |
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06:03 | of time, we, we cut the 1st 5% in the last |
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06:07 | But that's where uh a big part the game is, is uh you |
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06:12 | , our p 90 here, this 10%. What are the chances of |
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06:16 | getting the small volume? And uh over here, what are the chances |
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06:20 | getting a high ball. And, , and so I think, |
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06:28 | that's pretty simple and this, and this is just a, uh, |
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06:33 | the frequent here and it just and, and, uh, |
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06:36 | so getting the really, uh, values, uh, is the, |
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06:41 | piece of 10 is a probability of . I think everybody knows that. |
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06:45 | sometimes people don't, don't know that front. So I have to tell |
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06:49 | . So we have the uh the 90 p 50 sort of in the |
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06:53 | . And uh and again, I really don't think um the probability |
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07:02 | reservoirs occurring in a particular place really a uh a normal distribution curve. |
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07:09 | uh nevertheless, that's what people do try to, to try to risk |
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07:13 | money. Uh You know, the object is as if uh you |
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07:20 | 10 wells. And uh one of things, a lot of people don't |
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07:25 | when they're doing probabilities is if you pick some of these, if I |
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07:29 | a 10 of these wells, one them should hit and that one big |
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07:33 | is worth more than all the little . And uh a lot of people |
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07:38 | , don't remember that. And uh that's something I think is important uh |
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07:43 | , in any resource exploration to uh remember whether you're looking for gold in |
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07:47 | ground or helium or whatever. And uh this diagram, this is |
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07:54 | course a cartoon and uh I could a day explaining this thing in more |
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08:00 | the most detail. But basically, here's p 90 P 10 and you |
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08:05 | this envelope of where you think it be. And of course, the |
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08:10 | would be somewhere down the middle And this is what they actually produced |
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08:15 | this uh figured out they had in of reserves uh through the exploration |
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08:22 | Uh then through the appraisal phase, started to find out there were, |
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08:26 | were places they couldn't reach, they they would reach. And here it |
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08:30 | to be a little bit less and from uh what, what they thought |
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08:34 | reserves were gonna be. But at same time, uh you can see |
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08:39 | envelope, the probability envelope gets tighter tighter as you go down. So |
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08:44 | when it comes to risk, the of risk drops off, but there's |
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08:48 | risk there. And um so when get to this diagram shows when you |
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08:56 | to the, to the development uh there's less risk. What do |
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09:02 | think this means that you happen to a development geologist instead of an exploration |
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09:09 | ? Uh uh Yes and no. um we, we're on this |
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09:22 | they expect you to be off. a wide envelope. Ok. And |
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09:28 | a lot of geologists that have never anyone at all have had really long |
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09:33 | well paid careers as geologists. This always considered the down here. |
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09:40 | you know, it's, it's we know it's there. Uh, |
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09:43 | at the same time, uh, was not much room for error. |
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09:47 | so you can't make them when I a development geologist, I got the |
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09:52 | F P, a lot of wells , uh, I hit every one |
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09:56 | them came in, like I told before. A little bit less. |
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10:00 | mean, a little bit more than . I always knew there was gonna |
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10:04 | more, but I always always took five or 10% off the top. |
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10:08 | so when the uh when the well drilled and we counted up the uh |
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10:11 | pay and, and the reach of , well, it, it ended |
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10:14 | looking better than I thought, but too, too much better, you |
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10:19 | , you don't want to be a . OK. Um So uh one |
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10:26 | those things that was on the list a trap envelope and uh you |
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10:31 | to recognize a trap is really Uh Maybe you all recall the luau |
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10:39 | in the offshore China. Uh With two D seismic, it almost looked |
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10:44 | , gosh, what is that? that really a trap? And uh |
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10:49 | to figure out that trap envelope can important. And uh that was more |
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10:52 | a, a faces type trap than else. It was on a |
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10:56 | But uh but the fact that it had buggy porosity and it was |
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11:01 | by a marine shale was uh after drowning of the of the uh reef |
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11:06 | was critical. But what happens most the time is we're looking for any |
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11:11 | and things like that. We're looking four way closures or trap closures. |
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11:16 | the the current day structure is really and of course, what the structure |
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11:21 | during uh the potential time for migration charging of the reservoir is really |
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11:28 | But you know, we do our and two-way travel time. And so |
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11:34 | velocity models, uh you know, geophysics got started, velocity mo models |
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11:40 | all that great. And uh and some, in some areas, they're |
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11:45 | not all that good. For uh where I was working on the |
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11:48 | stuff in um the sugar land uh the only velocity only velocity data |
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11:56 | could get would be just uh was simple velocity shots or um where, |
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12:04 | know, you, you uh you a thing here and you figure out |
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12:06 | long it takes to get down to certain point. So basically, uh |
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12:10 | were doing something like average intervals uh this might be the sonic log and |
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12:17 | you had to average and interpolate between and uh we were really uh ended |
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12:22 | with something that looked more like this doing that. Uh other times, |
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12:27 | know, you might wanna just average interval where you, where you see |
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12:31 | have offsets, you know, it like there's an offset here. I'll |
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12:34 | this, average that and said you've these offsets, I'll do that |
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12:38 | It's showing me it is instantaneous out it. And of course, some |
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12:46 | the algorithms will work with the the al the um the sonic log |
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12:54 | you pretty much foot by foot. uh the point is the better, |
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12:57 | have a tie between depth and the response, the velocity, the better |
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13:04 | uh you're gonna be able to see there is a trap or trap |
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13:09 | And uh this is an example, think I showed you earlier here, |
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13:12 | had some gas above it and and it sort of so you have |
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13:16 | gas in here and it kind of it slows it down and when it |
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13:20 | it down, it makes it a . So this structure here is |
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13:25 | And um if you come up with same seismic, similar seismic data, |
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13:29 | not the same seismic data with a velocity model, you actually see uh |
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13:34 | , that sort of nonexistent structure actually a structure. And you can see |
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13:40 | something that could be a trap. so one of the critical things uh |
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13:47 | the exploration and uh and getting to the far end of appraisal, you |
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13:54 | , we're trying to figure out what's what surprise gonna be here uh with |
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13:58 | seismic line and that, and that for resolution on our realization of the |
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14:06 | in the velocity model across the Um uh It has a big, |
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14:12 | impact on um how you can uh and visualize that trap envelope. And |
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14:20 | course, so we, we looked this and, and there's more than |
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14:23 | uh seismic going on. But uh trap envelope, remember we have to |
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14:28 | uh figure out what our closures are uh and never forget it's not on |
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14:37 | one, but never forget that top , you have to have a top |
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14:44 | . OK? Another thing that's important the uh the trap model, of |
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14:49 | , is you a water contact and the distribution of the different components in |
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14:56 | . For example, if you have gas cap, there's gonna be uh |
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15:00 | area that's segregated uh that just gas another part that's mostly oil and then |
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15:06 | that mostly. And so you do this gravity driven driven thing about the |
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15:15 | of a conventional resource. Uh that encased in shales. And because uh |
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15:23 | of them are, are water drive reservoirs. We have uh you |
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15:28 | we, we tend not to worry the bottom seal as much as, |
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15:32 | we probably should when we're working with . OK. I showed you this |
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15:38 | of course, um uh last uh uh well, Monday, I |
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15:45 | And um and so we uh you , it's important to figure out where |
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15:49 | old order contact is and of the example, here we dwell. |
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15:53 | , number one, uh we didn't it yet because we had boiled down |
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15:58 | . That's what the O D T . Uh This, these are English |
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16:02 | in the US. We use different of uh uh like lowest oil, |
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16:07 | uh things like that. So we do different things but here we |
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16:11 | oil over contact. So we can that we have net sand here, |
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16:15 | we have net will and this is . And of course, you can |
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16:23 | the reason is all here as Doesn't matter which one's flipping, you |
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16:29 | , one's high and one's low. . And sometimes, uh this |
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16:37 | I kind of like this because this really like the Scott field was because |
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16:42 | had a really good seal and they it down here and they found an |
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16:47 | water contact there and an oil water there and that made them decide we |
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16:52 | no idea what's going on here. when they did the 3D seismic because |
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16:56 | was this big fault here and they the big fault. They couldn't prove |
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16:59 | was sand in here. And he did everything in the world |
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17:03 | in British courts with people wearing those things on their head. What do |
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17:07 | call those wigs? There must be better name for it. Anybody know |
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17:14 | should drop. Uh, anyway, , all of this up here was |
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17:20 | considered not there. Uh I don't if you remember the map that I |
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17:25 | you but the uh the, um they finally did drill a, |
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17:30 | not on a, it was just inside of the fall because the top |
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17:35 | of it with their 3d seismic in seismic, they could see there must |
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17:40 | some sand here, but they were kind of the, of the, |
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17:46 | with trigonometry and, and high resolution threat, we were, I was |
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17:51 | to show that the sand had to there. I came up with a |
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17:55 | they bought into it. I don't that as one of my wells. |
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17:58 | , but um as it turns that was the reason they drilled |
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18:02 | But they um uh they, they were um concerned about whether it would |
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18:09 | there. But it was, the is what I brought up with the |
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18:12 | method. It, it was a . Uh I had uh logical observations |
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18:18 | reasoning, uh an understanding of those and it put it together using simple |
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18:24 | like trigonometry and it pretty much said had to be there. Um The |
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18:30 | that we knew there was oil down and that we knew there was oil |
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18:33 | here probably being drained because they're producing than they thought they had uh from |
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18:38 | the well across the river. So release line was over here that again |
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18:44 | tell us there was a lot of why there was oil in there, |
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18:47 | just sand. Uh What I showed without a doubt there was sand there |
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18:52 | , but the, but we also not 100% indication, but we had |
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18:57 | on the bottom end on this area there was some oil there. And |
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19:02 | knew over here that we were getting . It's kind of hard for the |
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19:08 | to get out of the bag when stuck in it. OK. Uh |
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19:13 | is another thing that uh we can . We have so many tools, |
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19:16 | know, we could go into tools the time. Uh What would be |
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19:19 | really a series of courses would be geology uh followed by risk or engineering |
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19:27 | followed by risk. That would be real set of course. Uh But |
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19:33 | we don't, we don't have those running here in this department. But |
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19:39 | here you can see they got uh measurements here, pressure measurements there. |
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19:44 | this again is trying to figure out distribution of the fluids within that, |
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19:48 | that trap. And uh with we can uh again, this is |
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19:54 | hypothesis but this al almost always Um We get the pressure, you |
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19:59 | a line like this, we get pressure to draw a line down like |
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20:03 | and where they intersect is probably gonna where the oil, um guess uh |
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20:10 | , oil contact is. And um the, as they said in the |
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20:17 | projected oil gas contact the pog. . Uh Another thing that happens, |
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20:31 | you know, we talk about things this will alert, huh? A |
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20:40 | of whales and I will pretty much uh pretty well defined ones. Uh |
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20:45 | were different compartments, they're obviously isolated they're one's higher than the other. |
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20:50 | one of this, you actually have sitting on top of oil that freaks |
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20:56 | reservoir engineers all the time. And you have water on top of oil |
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21:01 | uh there's water, there's only and no letter here and uh that sorry |
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21:10 | that. There's, there's, I know what it is but the uh |
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21:18 | need to get, I need to something like uh this line to figure |
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21:25 | when I don't need to have my on and when I do need to |
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21:28 | my phone on. So I'm gonna to figure out if anybody can think |
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21:32 | a good way to do that. mean, it seems like when it's |
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21:37 | off, someone wants me to hear phone um, when it's turned |
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21:41 | you know? Ok. Uh and probably had that problem too, but |
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21:45 | this is just showing you uh this capillary pressure thing. And what do |
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21:50 | think the point of this is, know, they, they tell us |
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21:54 | supposed to reverse our classes and, know, you, you explain things |
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21:57 | us. So why do you guys that why is that important? And |
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22:03 | , I can think of two really reasons but that you can come up |
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22:06 | one if you have extract out of . Ok. That, that's kind |
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22:18 | one. But think about, which one of these has the most |
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22:24 | crush this one lives, right? which one is gonna push on the |
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22:31 | seal the most? And so that reservoir is gonna be pushing? |
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22:40 | A really good point about this um, do you think most |
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22:46 | you know, they, they say in here they say poor throat, |
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22:50 | is right down here, they say diameter. Um, it's really poor |
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22:56 | . Um, because that's what's constricting , that's what's causing the, |
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23:01 | um, capillary pressure. And you , um, in a given |
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23:08 | if I'm gonna have this light of , other words, at one |
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23:11 | you may have these capillary impressions or capillary impressions. So that, |
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23:19 | so there's not always a lot of CAPP pressures across the board. It's |
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23:23 | of a range of capillary pressures and one is gonna be pushing less than |
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23:30 | ones on this end. Uh But you have something like this and, |
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23:35 | it's a relatively big number. In words, you have all of these |
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23:39 | maybe some even bigger you may end with, uh, and it's kind |
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23:45 | consistent, you, you may end with a bit of a, |
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23:48 | a transitional zone that you know in other words, you might be |
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23:53 | to see in some spots, it gets up to here, other |
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23:57 | it gets up to there and so and so forth. I personally have |
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24:01 | worked on a well that did But, uh, but it can |
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24:04 | . So you have these, what call transition zones. Um And, |
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24:12 | , and I, and I'm just have you, this is from your |
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24:15 | . This is kind of complicated to uh it could take a week. |
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24:19 | if you look at here, this the simple one out of Shepherd's |
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24:23 | which explains everything you need to And here we have 100% of water |
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24:28 | . Here, we end up having more water, uh then oil until |
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24:34 | get to here, then it's 50 . And you can look at that |
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24:38 | and actually figure that out pretty quick to there. It's about 80% and |
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24:42 | you get 100% of production. So a, there's a oil water |
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24:47 | then there's a sort of a So, and the wider those sport |
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24:52 | are and the more consistent they the more likely you go from 100 |
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24:57 | to almost 100 right across the OK. But as you start to |
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25:02 | , it starts to come up and those poor throats faster in the |
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25:06 | tiny holes faster than the snow water . The oil is that just a |
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25:13 | of density and, and the water in the boil, is that just |
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25:18 | function of density? Well, there's , no, the, the water |
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25:22 | , uh, did you say oil on top of water? Ok. |
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25:31 | that, that, that confuses engineers and they're smart? Ok. |
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25:40 | you mean this one? Ok. a, here's a defective seat, |
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25:46 | Scott field, they call this The I shoot and, uh, |
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25:51 | actually have an oil water contact over for whatever reason when it charged the |
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25:56 | one charged more than the top one the top one to that one |
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26:01 | even more. So it's more Ok. And, uh, |
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26:06 | there's kind of a reason for that you don't have time to do |
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26:09 | But, but here you have water than that will, that's there. |
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26:15 | . That just freaks out and sometimes might be, you know, farther |
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26:19 | . And, uh, that's just that can, when an engineer sees |
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26:24 | it's like this doesn't make sense. is it happening? Uh, it |
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26:28 | to do with effective seals. The shale, uh, is one of |
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26:31 | most plastic, uh, maximum flooding . In fact, I think it's |
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26:35 | , it's an enhanced maximum flooding um, or a tectonic, enhanced |
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26:43 | bit surface. And, uh, it, uh, when they, |
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26:48 | they were testing and shrimp, it a, they actually, you |
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26:51 | got it to form like a It's almost like a piece of plastic |
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26:57 | that's the delicious stuff. That's, not a carbonate, fine grain |
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27:03 | So, so, but this makes . OK. The other thing doesn't |
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27:08 | sense. And, but there's a why it happened. OK. Another |
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27:13 | thing is field car compartmentalization and rather read that out, uh here's what |
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27:18 | means, you know, you see big field and somebody drills a well |
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27:22 | the middle of it somewhere and they it's all one big oil field. |
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27:27 | then they realize um the lowest known , lowest known oil here's oil. |
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27:32 | Here, here they're trying to if something is lower than the other |
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27:37 | , it must be a different to you a way that could happen. |
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27:41 | this is just showing you uh how happens. And sometimes they don't even |
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27:46 | when they're drilling these wells, uh those little faults are. But when |
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27:50 | see those pressure differences, sometimes, trigonometric, the only thing, the |
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27:56 | thing that could possibly cause that is small haul that you can't see unless |
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28:01 | were well trained in my class, this semester, but uh and picking |
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28:07 | little balls. Sorry, you guys a really good job of all the |
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28:13 | . Um This is the first place 100% of people do formation lines, |
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28:21 | of like your uh some of the things I asked you to do, |
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28:25 | know, really focus on some of other things. Is it like? |
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28:28 | , I know what they're trying to but they didn't do what I |
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28:31 | And, uh, but, you know, I, I |
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28:35 | I get that it's a new thing , uh, I even get the |
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28:38 | that, um, the students now very little work with a pencil and |
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28:44 | piece of paper and drying is um, when I was, when |
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28:49 | was in the street, especially when was high in the last was really |
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28:55 | . That was a tremendous skill And luckily I was able to do |
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29:00 | . It was a little rough when hurt my eye that time. I |
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29:03 | I told you guys when I hurt eye. Yeah, drawing with one |
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29:06 | , it's really hard to consider three . OK? So that's what compartmentalization |
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29:13 | all about. And this and there's things besides, besides what are contacts |
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29:18 | can give it away like this. also you can look at the uh |
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29:26 | histories uh of uh of wells from here versus ones over there. And |
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29:31 | would be uh production over time. kind of a pressure fly. And |
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29:36 | and it's showing you that the, uh that production profile is kind of |
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29:41 | you that the pressure, the dropping different rates than it is over |
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29:50 | I mean, it's a, it's production profile but it relates to |
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29:56 | OK. Um And uh this is list of things that we worry about |
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30:01 | property distributions. And of course, one of the key elements to, |
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30:07 | this is if things like lit the and I can't go into a lot |
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30:11 | different details. Uh Like when I reservoir characterization, I had a lot |
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30:17 | uh pictures of uh depositional systems, it show them why there was a |
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30:23 | kind of he a he even here why I was there, there might |
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30:27 | a lot of real home in every it, and it is not for |
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30:32 | reservoir engineer. So it, it very enlightening for them. And uh |
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30:40 | of the first things we did remember was talking about uh looking at different |
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30:44 | where you have different object models, reservoirs uh when they first started uh |
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30:50 | characterization a little bit uh beyond, know, this has better ferocity than |
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30:56 | has better ferocity. This ferocity, homogeneous ferocity, Latin homogeneous, the |
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31:03 | started out like that. And then started moving to these things called um |
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31:09 | object uh models. And uh and these reservoirs were objects in space |
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31:17 | you know, like a barrier island be sort of a cylinder thing uh |
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31:21 | this um sort of uh feathered off the front, at the shore face |
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31:30 | uh and then kind of abruptly dropped more round it at the back where |
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31:34 | marsh started. So they had all different shapes and uh from that, |
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31:41 | know, you can see that there's kinds of shapes of things like here's |
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31:44 | channel shape and this is actually a a channel belt and uh uh with |
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31:54 | different uh uh channels in it as it migrates. And uh but |
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31:59 | can look at different scales and what heterogeneity is. And uh and |
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32:04 | that's kind of an important thing when start getting into how we gonna get |
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32:08 | this out. Because when I'm looking this microscopic detail, I'm starting to |
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32:15 | how I could actually need oil and as it's being produced. In other |
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32:19 | , it's gonna be coming through The water might be if I have |
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32:22 | water drive, water's gonna be pushing . And most of the examples I'm |
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32:25 | show you in terms of production, models relate to that uh water |
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|
32:31 | But um uh as you go from features of that scale to feature down |
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32:38 | this scale, this is where you're to produce, say that 34% |
|
|
32:44 | uh when you get down to this , you know, you realize they |
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|
32:48 | 34% but there may be another 5% of 100 million barrels might work out |
|
|
32:54 | be something worthwhile. You can figure a way to, to do an |
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|
32:57 | enhanced oil recovery and get it So that's why all this stuff that |
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|
33:02 | was trying to show you kind of together in the end. And one |
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33:06 | the things that uh we do is aspect races. And um, and |
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33:14 | for these models, for example, we drill a well, we have |
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|
33:21 | definite but what is the width of ? And so there's these aspect ratio |
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|
33:27 | where people have gone around the world stuff, they've done drilling wells and |
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|
33:32 | that they've done with uh with outcrops figure out if I have a channel |
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|
33:37 | in this part of the world or economic setting, um If it sent |
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33:42 | this way, it should be there that there should be 100 the channel |
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|
33:48 | in Azerbaijan and on the echelon ridge , you know, it's very, |
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|
33:55 | flat. So they meandered a So the channel doesn't really well. |
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|
33:59 | what you see in a lot of where the gradient, uh the flow |
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|
34:04 | is like higher than something that's almost , a plate of glass that's just |
|
|
34:09 | though. OK. And this is from a study, one of my |
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|
34:16 | regular masters students did. And uh , he got uh we got a |
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|
34:21 | of data from the V P on ridge looking at the productive series and |
|
|
34:26 | have all these sands and these sands kind of confusing. Uh There's so |
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|
34:31 | sand, it's kind of hard to character, characterize and figure out the |
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|
34:35 | of these reservoirs where they start and . You drill a, well, |
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|
34:39 | think you have all the recent reservoirs but then, you know, only |
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34:43 | production could they tell because as a they didn't have a big, small |
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|
34:47 | site, we did it and uh that kind of thing. So, |
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34:53 | uh so anyway, here's, here's kind of data now crop. Uh |
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34:57 | also a lot of empirical equations that based on looking uh at uh all |
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35:03 | of uh um people have uh there's model here. They, they call |
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35:12 | empirical, but they, they come with these equations to kind of figure |
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|
35:15 | , you know, remember when well, we normally only see this |
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|
35:20 | . I don't know this one. ? We don't know that reach or |
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35:24 | of that chi that channel belt. uh we know it's sickness but we |
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35:29 | always know it's with, we drill well, the only number we get |
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35:32 | the thickness. And so they, came up from uh so uh using |
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35:36 | lot of different things, they came with different uh empirical calculations to uh |
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35:43 | know, kind of figure out based what we've seen. This is what |
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35:45 | should be in that particular area. other words, the rock accumulation rates |
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|
35:51 | , uh you're gonna get more excuse me, more height and less |
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35:56 | . If it's slower, you're gonna more width and less height. |
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|
36:01 | And here's some of the different things that they uh have done with, |
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|
36:05 | know, plotting, you know, you, when you plot um this |
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|
36:10 | , when it's almost nothing, it any sense. Uh But what you |
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|
36:13 | , what you really needed to do what some people really did was, |
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36:17 | know, they, uh you look these things where there's different way of |
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36:24 | and you lump the ones in the rock accumulation rate again instead of making |
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|
36:29 | a shotgun and make it a little confusing. You do it this |
|
|
36:32 | But what it's showing you is um that, that ratio and uh here's |
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|
36:37 | sand body width versus the mean thickness the sand body. And uh and |
|
|
36:44 | of look at those numbers right Um And here is um this is |
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|
36:52 | of the same thing uh from the , but here's one that I really |
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|
36:58 | look at the numbers on the bottom , 1 10, 101,000 aspect |
|
|
37:05 | What is this? This is right? In those aspects of the |
|
|
37:14 | , you know, it does, know, the the middle is, |
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37:16 | like 100 and you know, it really getting high up there and you |
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|
37:20 | back here, you know, you get to 1000. We're all the |
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37:27 | up to 10,000. And what is telling you about shared lives? |
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|
37:37 | the no, it's not the it's just that the, the |
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37:44 | the shell faces for every little bit thickness. They're very divide. Remember |
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37:51 | stuff that spilled down on the plate there's a flood. So it's |
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37:56 | like it's extensive later. What does tell me this? Tell me more |
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38:02 | . It tells me this is why so much of this darn stuff here |
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|
38:05 | it's one of those faces that's very broad in their lifestyle. |
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38:10 | a lot of these big, she plays are huge. It's not |
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38:13 | stand in a little area, it's a prospect here or a prospect |
|
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38:16 | It's all over. That's one What else, what else about |
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|
38:22 | This is uh really critical. It to exercise three. You didn't even |
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38:33 | remember in exercise three. Now, of you may not remember this because |
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38:36 | apparently didn't do it. Um A of, a lot of folks, |
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38:42 | , half of your uh half half of your S R MS was |
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|
38:47 | . Um I think one of the I forgot to tell you, I |
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38:54 | my life on this, um You , when you're looking at those |
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39:00 | you turn them on their side, you're slipping the things. Uh these |
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|
39:05 | gonna be the low resistivity, the resistivity is gonna be the shields. |
|
|
39:10 | uh and this is where the markers , you had a lot of markers |
|
|
39:12 | went like this or something that went like this. Uh But this is |
|
|
39:18 | the shale pattern would be down And uh and then threw you |
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|
39:23 | And another reason is that you could at the log S P log, |
|
|
39:27 | can see that and these were tricky because some of the S P, |
|
|
39:32 | of you missed a lot of the just because SPS, you're so |
|
|
39:38 | Um One of the wells, you a thing like this and, and |
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39:44 | it went and then you got down and there was big things and this |
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39:51 | got labeled, this one was what lot of people labeled that one and |
|
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39:56 | one was what was down here and just, it threw you off the |
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|
40:01 | . Um, I think, to this out. But, but I've |
|
|
40:05 | doing this for a while. um, but, you know, |
|
|
40:07 | the same time I'm really happy that put those correlation lines on and, |
|
|
40:14 | , one person in here did a good job and I'm really glad that |
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|
40:17 | person did. But, uh, , it could have been by luck |
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40:22 | it could have been by a significant or a little bit of both. |
|
|
40:26 | , uh, but I think looking all of them overall. Have you |
|
|
40:29 | your grades? Yeah, the grades , they're not all 100 but, |
|
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40:35 | they're good, they're good grades uh, um, hm, depending |
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40:43 | what, what the class gets uh, I'll take one or two |
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40:48 | off or something and other times I'll off five in this class, I |
|
|
40:51 | very conservative on how many points I off. Uh But, but, |
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|
40:56 | at the same time I have to I could read in there that you |
|
|
40:58 | , you were getting the idea. , you still need a lot of |
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41:02 | and, uh, I don't know where you're gonna get it. But |
|
|
41:06 | , uh, I hope if nothing you realize that it might be useful |
|
|
41:09 | be able to pick faults uh on log. Uh Because I know for |
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|
41:15 | fact it is because even with as as seismic is it me, it |
|
|
41:19 | misses things at that scale. Here are some of the outcrop |
|
|
41:24 | Um you know, over here, student uh he looked at our |
|
|
41:32 | he got some of these empirical equations that we're talking about which actually are |
|
|
41:37 | of all these big data sets. then there's this the seismic. Um |
|
|
41:44 | know, we come up with, equations out of these shotgun things. |
|
|
41:48 | uh but here, here are some the things that he did in the |
|
|
41:54 | Gazal. And uh I think there's from the Kama Valley but I'm not |
|
|
41:58 | . But uh but here you can here's the thicknesses in meters, 2.5 |
|
|
42:04 | . If we use science and new and uh you go to Europe, |
|
|
42:08 | forced to do science. And here the, this is an aspect |
|
|
42:12 | 100 and 50 m from one end the other. And what is this |
|
|
42:18 | thing called? If you don't I'm gonna tell you. But |
|
|
42:23 | what do you call it when I , I have a channel here. |
|
|
42:27 | funny one there. A channel The channel here and they seem to |
|
|
42:33 | genetically related over a relatively short period time. They are amalgamated with this |
|
|
42:43 | . OK. It's like, it's there was a channel over here going |
|
|
42:47 | this and then one came over top it, maybe started over here and |
|
|
42:53 | over here and then got a slice this way and the same thing. |
|
|
42:58 | , but the channel belt is that when you're flying in an airplane, |
|
|
43:01 | you see the channel belts and a tiny ribbon in the middle of it |
|
|
43:06 | the, the current channel. And uh that's what we mean by aspect |
|
|
43:14 | in these things. We drill well, we get this number, |
|
|
43:18 | get this number and that when we through them, OK? But we |
|
|
43:23 | know this one and when you have well here another, well, a |
|
|
43:27 | away. How do you get, do you get at the reservoirs if |
|
|
43:31 | think you have on here here? isn't it producing like one dynamic presidency |
|
|
43:39 | the aspect creation is essentially it's not reach to the next level. |
|
|
43:53 | And uh yeah, there you can see where some of those things are |
|
|
43:57 | that. And then here that the thing that he did was he looked |
|
|
44:01 | it and in the seismic again, uh early on all physics would call |
|
|
44:10 | a channel. It's really the scale it is. This is a channel |
|
|
44:15 | . In other words, there was channel here, every channel here and |
|
|
44:17 | there at this point, you this thing, these things go like |
|
|
44:23 | and this is really a low, um gradient. And so um you're |
|
|
44:30 | meander even more than you would normally in the river. But basically, |
|
|
44:35 | you hit something that thick, you expect it to go about that |
|
|
44:38 | Here's one that went a little bit . So here we have something that |
|
|
44:41 | be arranged like this. This would the uh a lower aspect ratio. |
|
|
44:48 | would be a higher one, but might be the maximum in that whole |
|
|
44:56 | . And uh the way that we the dots from one well to the |
|
|
45:00 | . Uh In other words, here's , well, what is the, |
|
|
45:06 | do the sands really look like over ? Um This, this bar over |
|
|
45:11 | is showing you percentage all the way percentage of sand. And that would |
|
|
45:20 | if I had this cell distributed like , this cell would have to be |
|
|
45:25 | that and that cell would be something that. And so we're kind of |
|
|
45:29 | these little like here's maybe uh um , a shelf sand that's really broad |
|
|
45:36 | , and widely distributed. And here's little tail in here and this would |
|
|
45:40 | what we see Verne here. It's same thing all the way through. |
|
|
45:45 | that is, that's just sort of , a bomb that come over. |
|
|
45:54 | so here was, uh, the about object modeling, uh, with |
|
|
45:57 | channel belts, um, that the had to do. You have sands |
|
|
46:02 | and you have sands there. And course, none of the people in |
|
|
46:07 | room would correlate the sands right away , you know, to correlate the |
|
|
46:10 | first because there's a, there's a lot going on in here and |
|
|
46:15 | really want to make sure that whatever shells are line up with something over |
|
|
46:20 | or, and not something over like say it was clii forms be |
|
|
46:23 | important to check the shale. Uh um but then you don't know what's |
|
|
46:29 | on inside. And here is We start out with just the vertical |
|
|
46:35 | here is looking um at the aspect methods that we have, we're extending |
|
|
46:42 | . You know, we think one a little bit this way, one |
|
|
46:45 | that way, this little one might the tapering edge of a bigger |
|
|
46:49 | that kind of thing. And we , we place them like that and |
|
|
46:52 | here we do the same thing. then what do we do in the |
|
|
46:56 | , in the middle? We try figure out how it might um uh |
|
|
47:01 | might have some of these random sand to just pop over here. And |
|
|
47:06 | is something where you've added random sand bodies to where that, that this |
|
|
47:18 | of percentage or that type of percentage honored across that space. In other |
|
|
47:24 | , we have two holes in the , two points of data. These |
|
|
47:28 | our two points of data. Uh it looks like this near the, |
|
|
47:33 | , it must look a little bit this uh in between and then maybe |
|
|
47:37 | more like this. If I look that total percentage of sand in the |
|
|
47:41 | profile, words, if I keep same percentage of uh uh in |
|
|
47:46 | in this profile, in this in this profile, in that |
|
|
47:51 | it should have pretty much a model but, and, and of |
|
|
47:56 | what's one of the first things that see when you look at this in |
|
|
48:01 | of re for continuity, there's not lot of them not on that |
|
|
48:08 | Maybe if we, you know, that picture and turned it this |
|
|
48:13 | there was a section in that in and out of the wall, |
|
|
48:16 | might have to be running along the of those and see more. And |
|
|
48:23 | this is the kind of things uh geologists with statistics and probability and reservoir |
|
|
48:29 | models are trying to figure out. they started with, with these kind |
|
|
48:34 | , uh, bodies that relate to they're actually drilling into. You |
|
|
48:38 | I'm dr drilling into these, uh, those subsidence three, uh |
|
|
48:44 | builds. Is it only the 20th three? So, ok, you |
|
|
48:55 | , you get one of these expensive . I got this watch that, |
|
|
48:58 | know, supposed to be for And I know when I was flying |
|
|
49:02 | an A four Skyhawk he pulled, think, post eight G S one |
|
|
49:07 | , I never did anything in my . I get on my bike and |
|
|
49:11 | slip and the face comes loose. I'm going like this is supposed to |
|
|
49:16 | able to handle nine G S things happen in life. Uh So |
|
|
49:24 | point is is we, we do bodies and we do these models and |
|
|
49:27 | , we try to figure out uh the reservoir engineers are so perplexed because |
|
|
49:34 | automatically gonna do what some of you in here. And let's just correlate |
|
|
49:37 | Sams. I think only one person that. It was kind of obvious |
|
|
49:41 | , from one of them that I'm pretty sure they listened to |
|
|
49:47 | but they decided it was a lot to correlate to say, OK, |
|
|
49:52 | here's what we had. Um One the unfortunate things about these diagrams is |
|
|
49:58 | one, some of them 232 m . In other words, uh more |
|
|
50:05 | a kilometers apart. Uh If you posted these out of scale. I |
|
|
50:11 | , at scale, uh horizontal it would have been a big |
|
|
50:14 | a big diagram would have been hard do it. But he uh he |
|
|
50:18 | it like this because, you you have to make powerpoint slides and |
|
|
50:22 | is tough when you're working with And uh anyway, uh this, |
|
|
50:27 | is kind of the correlation, this what I'm talking about, you |
|
|
50:30 | the engineers, you know, talking , there's no, no chance for |
|
|
50:34 | break. And uh and so he something like this, he ended up |
|
|
50:39 | something like this where he was showing things and um uh when he did |
|
|
50:46 | , he was trying to show you like this, this is in a |
|
|
50:50 | aspect ratio. It goes that But, but you have 540 m |
|
|
50:54 | here and 420 m over here and , it would have stretched out over |
|
|
50:58 | but not made it to this OK. And if you can, |
|
|
51:02 | if you can imagine with that, that slide, um This was really |
|
|
51:06 | neat uh revelation in origin. Oh is why I love movies. |
|
|
51:13 | I thought I had, you 100 million barrels of oil in, |
|
|
51:17 | this sand that went all the way like this. And now I realize |
|
|
51:21 | have to put more holes in the to get more of that oil out |
|
|
51:25 | they first started drilling. This it didn't matter because, and this |
|
|
51:29 | bizarre. But, um, say, say this, this was |
|
|
51:33 | grilling platform. They put a well that quarter on that corner, |
|
|
51:38 | that quarter, well on that corner maybe one there, one here, |
|
|
51:43 | there, one, you know, eight or eight wells. And so |
|
|
51:47 | brought so many holes in the Um, it's like, you |
|
|
51:52 | we're, we're gonna hit this thing over the place. And then on |
|
|
51:56 | of that, um, the engineering so good when they, uh, |
|
|
52:01 | it and they attach to the Python store each well, hand had a |
|
|
52:08 | and we just flew over from the . These old pipelines were all leaking |
|
|
52:13 | one of them. It probably even it. We're still eating a little |
|
|
52:19 | . So you had to get a miles offshore to where you could see |
|
|
52:21 | beautiful and crystal clear part cast in sea were just amazing. And there's |
|
|
52:26 | sea otters and stuff like that out all the way from the, |
|
|
52:32 | the Baltics or no, they were . I'm sorry, not otters, |
|
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52:37 | seals from the Baltic made it to Caspian City. OK. And so |
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52:43 | that lecture? Any questions? We're done with appraise. We're gonna |
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53:05 | right into, um, I hope , that, uh gave you at |
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53:09 | a little bit of an insight of beginnings of what the rest of our |
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53:13 | is. All about now what we , um Remember the diagram where they |
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53:18 | the little circles and stuff. Uh draw this real, you know, |
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53:23 | a geologist, you draw this really model with all the faces and all |
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53:26 | center, I call it the Then they, they put little uh |
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53:31 | on, they on cells like little like little shit, but it's all |
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53:37 | . And uh whenever you see one these things, it's really, it |
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53:43 | painful because I had a paper that like published in 2013 and it had |
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53:47 | these little chicks and they have a chick. You know, the, |
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53:51 | boundaries are gonna look like a pi the students thought that I was getting |
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53:57 | old papers or really old computer but even the modern ones uh that |
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54:02 | sell a lot of them, you , uh the other type of modeling |
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54:06 | based on your own dynamics, which gets to be like three million |
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54:12 | . And the, the one thing a pixelated boundary, it's a whole |
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54:16 | better than one that goes from the to a um something that finger on |
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54:26 | and so on. You know, just, it's just kind of really |
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54:31 | . Uh But uh sometimes the the pixel pictures, they look like |
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54:37 | , ancient computer uh work, but wasn't, it was, it was |
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54:40 | new stuff uh when I was teaching and showing it and those slides are |
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54:44 | my uh slide deck, but I , I don't show them anymore because |
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54:48 | , uh can't seem to get enough to talk about reservoir characterization the way |
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54:52 | like to. OK. Step blow this up. OK. |
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55:00 | um I'm not gonna read this out and I've said all this, I |
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55:04 | , uh numerous times. Um, this is, this is basically |
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55:10 | how these steps work. And a lot of the hypotheses, hypotheses |
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55:16 | goes on up there and the testing on down here. This is just |
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55:21 | and more tests of that hypothesis that geologist came up with in the reservoir |
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55:29 | . OK. More of the same . But we're gonna, we're gonna |
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55:34 | a little bit more now on development production development is how we're, |
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55:39 | you know, we think we have certain amount of oil we can |
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55:44 | we can put holes in the ground we try to recover. But after |
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55:47 | certain point in time, we realize not getting as much we on |
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55:51 | So we may have to do some this production stuff. Other thing that |
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55:56 | is sometimes we start getting out more we think we should be able to |
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56:00 | out. And then we know our static static model is you go back |
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56:05 | the geology shop and ask them, do some other more characterization because we're |
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56:10 | we're gonna be losing a big put the uh straws in the right |
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56:15 | to suck all that oil and gas . So, um, so in |
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56:21 | one of these steps, there's always handshake between development and production and sometimes |
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56:25 | go back. And uh one of things that also happens when we get |
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56:30 | the production phase is that, we, uh, you start to |
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56:37 | out ways to operate in an area than you did before. So, |
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56:42 | the minimum production rates become lower So for less recovery, there's less |
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56:50 | , you know, we're getting less . But the cost to do that |
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56:54 | is going down the is going to . So um we get dynamic |
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57:04 | of course from producing wells. Remember said static model, there's two things |
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57:09 | re there's two sort of two parts the reservoir characterization. One is the |
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57:14 | model which is probably about the geological . And the other one is the |
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57:21 | model which we often call the production . In other words, stabbing is |
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57:25 | rock sitting on the ground. Production to, to pulling fluid suicide, |
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57:30 | dynamic model, it changes over OK. And here is just showing |
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57:38 | um what could be happening in in a reservoir? This could be |
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57:41 | single well or, or even a . But uh you start producing a |
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57:46 | , you get a build up. if this is a single well, |
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57:50 | might be like uh you might have production, but it would be a |
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57:54 | bit different than this. I'll show some that look more closely, more |
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57:58 | like what a, a single well look like. And uh then you |
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58:02 | sort of a plateau in production and it starts to decline and there's a |
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58:09 | of things that cause this, but reservoir pressure starts to drop. As |
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58:13 | , you know, you've got butter here, you got hydrostatic pressure. |
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58:16 | you have this buoyancy overpressure from you start sucking it out and this |
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58:22 | that is eventually gonna be replaced with pressure of pretty much hydrostatic without the |
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58:29 | . And uh and then you're gonna a decline in which you can start |
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58:32 | pull out and a lot of what out on top of that, of |
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58:37 | , there's gonna be water and uh showing you OPEC reduction. Uh uh |
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58:44 | they show uh initial economic limit. But with better economics because you've figured |
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58:50 | a better way to get this less out for a lot less money, |
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58:55 | You can keep producing uh to a revised uh economic limit. This |
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59:01 | uh reserve additions could be a lot things. These could be um by |
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59:06 | at your static model, you could out there that you miss. There's |
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59:12 | sorts of um different types of uh that we can add reserves to something |
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59:18 | didn't think were there. But only would require drilling a new, |
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59:23 | um, trying to keep this from real fast. Uh, is another |
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59:27 | , but it could also be an oil recovery. Could be cap on |
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59:31 | . In other words, we're just sweep something through here. We're gonna |
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59:35 | a little bit of money sweeping, , the palmer or something through here |
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59:39 | see if we can get it pushed . I'll never forget the, |
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59:49 | the first water flood study I was and the reservoir engineer said if the |
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59:54 | of ever oil, ha ha ha gets over $24 a barrel, ha |
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59:59 | ha, this will be worth you know what it happened. And |
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60:06 | of course, uh when that the price of the services go up |
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60:11 | . It's an interesting uh uh So now we're gonna look at something |
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60:16 | , um, kind of uh hit it. But, you know, |
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60:20 | , we have different types of right? We have different types of |
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60:26 | . Now, now I'm gonna show different types of, of uh drive |
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60:31 | that push that oil and gas and poke a hole in the ground and |
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60:37 | there's a pressure differential there, especially we take the mud out, which |
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60:44 | in the Macondo. Well, they too soon. Uh When you take |
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60:48 | mud out, you reduce the, reduce the uh lithograph pressure down to |
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60:57 | to hydrostatic pressure. And of oil is gonna be flying out of |
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61:01 | thing if you don't have, have rocks holding it down in, |
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61:04 | the, in terms of a mud . Ok. So, um, |
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61:11 | are, uh, this is, , uh, this is kind of |
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61:18 | , the basic ones. Uh, have something called the Gas ol solution |
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61:23 | . We have, uh, Gas Drive. In other words, |
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61:29 | here, uh, gas is coming of ex solution but hasn't formed a |
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61:33 | . It's, it's, it's making oil of the oil gas combination of |
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61:38 | line and that's kind of helping push the oil out of the |
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61:43 | here, uh, we're producing oil as we produce oil there's a camp |
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61:48 | there and that cap, um, putting more gas in it. But |
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61:52 | you get more ex solution as a drop. It just started like |
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61:56 | So the cab drive is pushing And what's that? All right. |
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62:01 | , what's right here? Mhm. the water. So, here's one |
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62:10 | just shows water drop. So, , in almost all of these cases |
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62:14 | some sort of water drop. you must always have some kind of |
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62:18 | drive and, uh, but you always, and sometimes you do just |
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62:24 | , uh, ex solution drive and , I think it would be rare |
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62:29 | we just have gas have. uh, there's no gas in the |
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62:34 | . I guess this is all the oil. There's gonna be a limited |
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62:37 | of methane in it. And, , and you're gonna see mostly most |
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62:43 | the fields I worked on were a of water and gas cap expansion. |
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62:51 | , uh, the deeper wells in Marsh Island 1 28 were, were |
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62:55 | , aside from the, uh, and solution, they were mostly, |
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62:58 | , oil aside from the gas Ok. And, um, here |
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63:07 | , uh, this is just showing the combination drive which is gas and |
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63:11 | . And, uh, and here's one that's a, uh called the |
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63:16 | drive where, you know, you this uh angular and conformity maybe going |
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63:21 | . And, uh, and it's that's, you know, got a |
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63:24 | good tilt to it in the, , as it's being produced in the |
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63:30 | is, is dropping the, uh heavier oils go down and the gas |
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63:34 | out of solution and starts to form like a gas cap. Ok. |
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63:43 | here is uh um production from a water drive. And uh, here |
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63:51 | can see, uh we're adding more more wells, we're getting more production |
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63:54 | that reservoir. And then we reach point where uh the reservoir pressure kind |
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63:59 | balances out, um, somewhere close uh hydrostatic probably. And then the |
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64:08 | of uh oil starts to, to off and to produce uh gas and |
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64:14 | uh goes up. And of over here is, is water production |
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64:17 | way up. Here's a uh a cat, uh guess cap drive and |
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64:25 | can see here this is initial production or excuse me, initial pressure. |
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64:31 | And so here, here's the uh , the oil is coming through |
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64:35 | It plateaus and then it starts to off and you start getting a, |
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64:40 | you know, with the gas it's gonna be a, a relatively |
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64:44 | uh reservoir pressure drop uh in the parts. And then you start getting |
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64:49 | water cut and normally in a well, um when you get the |
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64:57 | cut where it's gonna be about 50 like where it flips over there, |
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65:03 | What you end up seeing is a of well shut in, in, |
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65:08 | in unconventional is a lot of the wells are at 50% already. And |
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65:13 | one of the reasons why it costs lot of money to produce them because |
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65:16 | have to dispose of all that uh that uh water. And of |
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65:20 | the day um sinkhole was a big site of injection and uh they caused |
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65:26 | collapse of uh of some of the there. Uh They over pressured the |
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65:31 | , I believe and they, um , it's a hypothesis uh that, |
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65:36 | what happened and it, and it a big problem. But um one |
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65:41 | the terrible things about the uh lack regulation uh on anything in the oil |
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65:47 | is I, I don't know why don't want regulations because if you have |
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65:52 | and everybody is doing things right. don't get something like the, you |
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65:58 | get something like, um, out Wing, there's, there's two, |
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66:03 | , things out of wing for. just really too close to the services |
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66:07 | , uh, the salt mass right it is making, uh, these |
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66:11 | , uh, sink that are about take over me. Um, and |
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66:15 | also we damage on the spot uh, which is a really stupid |
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66:21 | because, because, uh, I know about you guys, but my |
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66:24 | bill is a lot more than my bill and it has been for a |
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66:28 | time. So. Ok, here's typical gas ex solution drive. But |
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66:37 | it's trying to show you is there's controls on the uh overall reservoir pressure |
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66:42 | the, and uh and also different , combinations of fluids. So you |
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66:46 | different levels of oil and gas and , and the water cut coming out |
|
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66:50 | that. Ok. So one of things that I think is really important |
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|
66:56 | you talk about unconventional versus conventional bill has spent a lot of time looking |
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67:01 | conventional to people with war and they've really well with that, uh because |
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67:07 | based on all these things. of course, and we can talk |
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67:11 | all of this, uh, the of oil but, but most of |
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67:15 | things are good where a company like Corp would work. Hi, Corp's |
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67:19 | in an area where people have got lot of oil out of and they |
|
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67:25 | , they're looking for a new like, uh, one student I |
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67:29 | said, you know, there's gotta another barrier island. There's a field |
|
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67:33 | produced almost a billion barrels of oil there and everybody forgot to get the |
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67:37 | one. Nobody had the idea that one. And, uh, and |
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67:45 | don't know if they came up with one in front of it. If |
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67:48 | did, they probably wouldn't want to anybody until they drilled it. And |
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67:51 | haven't heard uh, on any updates that. Nevertheless, uh conventional fields |
|
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67:58 | last a long, tend to last long time. And, uh, |
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68:03 | is uh uh some of the stuff , that I worked on in here |
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68:08 | and some of the things that I work on, uh, but |
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68:11 | it's a lot of different, uh things. Uh, you know, |
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68:15 | you're producing 3 33,000 barrels of oil day out of a field, you're |
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68:19 | make a lot of money. here's what a typical Bakewell would look |
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68:26 | . And this is a, this , uh, this is a single |
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68:29 | . So instead of having something that as you add wells, uh you |
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68:35 | out with initial production, which might 500 barrels of oil a day, |
|
|
68:39 | is multiply that by 100 what, the price of oil right now? |
|
|
68:43 | it by uh $79 or something. a lot of money. It, |
|
|
68:48 | day it's down to 74 today. , uh, every day that's, |
|
|
68:53 | a lot of money, but it off really quick. This is 12 |
|
|
68:56 | . Look at that one year, of production is gone. Those, |
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69:02 | , conventional ones, it takes a time to get that oil to just |
|
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69:06 | flowing and coming over there. You , just come on and, |
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69:10 | you know, we put Chokes on things for a reason. Uh During |
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69:13 | War two, a lot of the had the Chokes taken off, we |
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69:16 | Chokes on them. Uh So they're producing as fast as they could. |
|
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69:21 | that what they don't want to do to get the water drive. And |
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69:24 | gonna be talking about that. At end of this, the water drive |
|
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69:28 | , is breaking closer and closer to , well, once that water gets |
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69:32 | that, well, it's gonna cut all the oil that's left in |
|
|
69:35 | uh during World war 21 of the underscoring logistical reasons why the United States |
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|
69:43 | able to do as much as it . Uh That was good in, |
|
|
69:46 | winning that war was that we always fuel. Um There are a lot |
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69:50 | battles where the, the better German , uh for example, ran out |
|
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69:55 | gas or diesel. I'm, I'm sure they probably ran on diesel. |
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|
70:00 | We do have a gas turbine, , a tank in the United States |
|
|
70:04 | . But back then I think most them ran on diesel but they ran |
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70:07 | of fuel. They, you they were, you know, tanks |
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70:10 | can't move are, are real easy to take out. And, |
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70:14 | and, and that sort of So, uh, but the reason |
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70:18 | , but the main reason why we these chokes on is so we can |
|
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70:21 | it out slow. So the, the water can just kind of slowly |
|
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70:26 | across that surface. And here's uh something that I that I this |
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70:32 | you know, looking at all these I came across this one and this |
|
|
70:35 | really says a lot one uh in picture, OK. This, this |
|
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70:42 | in both ends of this charmer Here's the, the blue one comes |
|
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70:46 | here like this, this is its league, you know, it gets |
|
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70:52 | here. Um But uh you you're already, when you're, when |
|
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70:56 | out, when you're way out you're getting like a 70 or 80% |
|
|
70:59 | cut. And uh and you're paying lot of money to get that oil |
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71:03 | of the ground and if you can doing it. So what's going on |
|
|
71:07 | this end through time? Um Like 2012, 2013, 2014, |
|
|
71:15 | 2016. What's happening on the initial side? First of all, make |
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71:32 | observation. What is this, what's about this than that? OK. |
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|
71:40 | time, the production rate is what going up. OK. Now you |
|
|
71:45 | your question, why you gonna be ? But better technology. Exactly. |
|
|
71:54 | , you're spot on. OK. what happens, what happens here? |
|
|
71:59 | see this perks up and uh, , this one just the 2012 makes |
|
|
72:05 | all the way down to here. there before we get to where we |
|
|
72:10 | , you know, get anything out it. This one is 2014. |
|
|
72:14 | all the way back to here in . The next one's all the way |
|
|
72:18 | to here. The next one's all way back to there. What could |
|
|
72:21 | be? I think there's two possibilities . But what it's showing you is |
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|
72:28 | over time in that area, the of the survival of those whales is |
|
|
72:34 | shorter and shorter is a really based the front and there's an obvious possible |
|
|
72:40 | , but there's another reason which which has to do with why we |
|
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72:44 | geologists. And before you can look this stuff, ok. The |
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72:50 | uh, the first reason is if produce a lot more in the |
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|
72:54 | you know, you're gonna drain a more, you're gonna, you |
|
|
72:56 | in, in effect, your recovery might be worth, or this red |
|
|
73:01 | might be worth whatever you got the one because you're figuring out a way |
|
|
73:04 | get it out of the ground Ok. So there's less there that's |
|
|
73:10 | the other, the other aspect to , it could also be because this |
|
|
73:14 | a lot of ones, it could be that through time. The areas |
|
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73:20 | they're finding to drill like now, the first wells were in the sweetest |
|
|
73:25 | . That's why they tried it because well was coming. And, |
|
|
73:30 | and so they drilled it, you , we followed the herd and then |
|
|
73:32 | moved over to something that wasn't as , but it was still produced. |
|
|
73:36 | we went into something that was less , but the technology is getting |
|
|
73:40 | you know, we can get better out of the worst ones, but |
|
|
73:43 | reservoir itself has less wine than the before. And I, and I |
|
|
73:48 | it's a combination of those things and all of this diagram says to |
|
|
73:53 | we need jobs. OK? um, and as long as we |
|
|
73:59 | oil and, um, it's, , it's, I don't know if |
|
|
74:05 | should grin or cry or, you , i it's just, it's, |
|
|
74:08 | horrible, but we need oil and long as we need oil, there |
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74:13 | be people that need to find Um, I know if I was |
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|
74:19 | during World war two, I would been one of the people trying to |
|
|
74:22 | that one, I guess for the rather than the one. Uh, |
|
|
74:27 | , and, and there's, you , when you think about it, |
|
|
74:30 | no shortage of honor trying to get oil and gas out of the ground |
|
|
74:34 | that our guys have gas needed Ok. So, anyway, |
|
|
74:40 | there's all sorts of these, different things. Um, when I |
|
|
74:45 | 20 I think it was 27. . No, 27. I got |
|
|
74:52 | do, uh, two relief wells , which we used to call kill |
|
|
74:56 | . Uh That's another type of, , these are the different kinds of |
|
|
74:58 | that you can do. But uh diagrams that I'm gonna show you |
|
|
75:03 | Uh This is in woozy, remember talked about woozy, one of the |
|
|
75:06 | areas finally opened up and uh you see here they have a platform and |
|
|
75:12 | reached all over the place and that platform, these big platforms that |
|
|
75:16 | templates on the bottom, uh sometimes where they can kick off in different |
|
|
75:23 | um really increases the chances of uh a small investment, having a big |
|
|
75:30 | in an area that has a lot heterogeneity to it. You know, |
|
|
75:33 | finding all the good spots. This , right here happens to be an |
|
|
75:37 | one, here's an injector mode, injecting. Uh sometimes uh some of |
|
|
75:42 | water back in, sometimes uh they be reinjecting the gas that they're producing |
|
|
75:47 | that sort of thing to try to to the, the pressure of the |
|
|
75:51 | pushing or sweeping. Uh that thing . Ok. Well, I think |
|
|
75:57 | class is over now and, we have one more lecture and, |
|
|
76:05 | , we'll finish this one and do one on, uh, unconventional on |
|
|
76:11 | . I think we're gonna get everything this class and you have a lot |
|
|
76:15 | stuff to memorize for a test. , uh, let me ask you |
|
|
76:23 | . Has, did anybody ever buy boat? Ok. If you bought |
|
|
76:29 | book and read the book, you be getting 100 reading, it might |
|
|
76:35 | about, yeah, because I, can tell you the, the, |
|
|
76:43 | know, the, um, you , the book can explain a lot |
|
|
76:46 | things. The professor only has time try to tell you things that he |
|
|
76:49 | are important in that book. uh, and that's about a |
|
|
76:53 | that's how lectures get. |
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